With
exchanges popping up all over the place you can place a
wager on just about anything - be it a greyhound, horse or
team -
to lose. All those useless nags you had bet on at Aintree on Saturday
could have turned into wonderfully profitable, useless
nags if you were laying them on a betting exchange.
The secret, is to decide upon and select the horses you
decide to lay. It's no good continually laying horses at
25s because although they almost always lose, now and
again a 25/1 shot goes in, more than likely wiping out any
gains you might have made. A 25/1 shot laid to a tenner
will see £250 exit your account.
It's much better to lay favourites, preferably at
prices of no more than 5/2, confining any pay-out in the
event of a win to only two and a half times your stake.
Usually about 30% of favourites win so it's fair to assume
that if you're laying favourites, around 70% of your
wagers will come good. That makes a change.
The groundwork you need to do to pick losers is every
bit as important as the research you should do into
finding winners. If you propose to lay the favourites at a
certain race meeting, your groundwork should be into what
happens to favourites at that particular course. Check out
the favourites' record. Your research tells you that at
Sedgefield, for example, the favourites achieve first
place in only 24% of handicap hurdles. In other words,
well below the 30% average for favourites across the
board. For example, on the race card you'll see two such
races. Your betting strategy should be to lay the
favourites of these two races, as long as the odds aren't
over 5/2. This is just one strategy but there are many
others. Another approach might involve individual jockeys. Tony
McCoy may be a brilliant jockey but his record isn't great
at the Cheltenham Festival. t's probably worth laying any
hot favourites McCoy rides there. What about the trainers?
Consider whether any big stable has a terrible record at
Ascot offering plenty of opportunities to lay short-priced
horses? The going is another key area to look at,
especially if there's been a recent downpour that has
changed the ground to 'soft' or 'heavy'. Which favoured
horses have only won on the good ground they're not going
to get today?
With exchange betting there are several factors to
consider. First of all, you will have absolute control
over the odds, whether backing or laying. You can ask for
higher odds if you are looking to back something, or place
lower odds taking into account the type of exposure you
are willing to accept, if laying bets.
If you would like be a successful gambler, it is worth
considering a strategy combining backing and laying as a
way of guaranteeing profits. You can secure profits by
backing something at one price and laying it at another
Come next March, for example, you have a look at the
prices for the Grand National that will be taking place in
a month's time. There's a horse called Montifault. He's
available to back at 50/1. When the race takes place in
April, money has been piling on to the horse because he
finished fifth in the race last year, leaps over hedges
like a stag and is in excellent form. Montifault's odds
are now 16/1. Having backed him at 50s you can now go to
Betfair and lay the same horse at 16s, securing the gains
caused by the price differential.
What if you put £100 on Montifault at the original
50/1? If it romps home first at Aintree your original bet
will return £5,100. But you've also put on a bet for it to
win £200 at 16s too which will lose you £3,200 if
Montifault triumphs. Don't let it worry you. Your
overall profit will be £1,900 which is still enough to
take the missus on holiday.
However, if Montifault throws his jockey out of the
saddle at Beecher's Brook what are you left with? You lose
the £100 from the wager you made when the horse was 50s
but as you've also bet Montifault to finish first at £200
you're still up by £100 overall. Not quite enough for a
five-star holiday, perhaps, but you can watch the race
knowing you'll be in profit.
n these circumstances you can't lose and situations
like this arise every day. If you use a combination of
backing and laying you can exploit price differentials,
lock in profits or minimise losses. You wouldn't be
able to do this before betting exchanges came along.